Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004011 0.004213 0.004420 0.004648 0.004893 0.005149 0.005436
2025-10-19 0.003644 0.003939 0.004255 0.004619 0.005028 0.005475 0.006004
2025-10-26 0.003411 0.003760 0.004142 0.004596 0.005123 0.005719 0.006450
2025-11-02 0.003227 0.003611 0.004041 0.004563 0.005185 0.005909 0.006825
2025-11-09 0.003139 0.003560 0.004042 0.004639 0.005368 0.006240 0.007377
2025-11-16 0.003005 0.003445 0.003957 0.004603 0.005408 0.006391 0.007707
2025-11-23 0.002903 0.003361 0.003902 0.004596 0.005476 0.006575 0.008082
2025-11-30 0.002783 0.003249 0.003806 0.004530 0.005464 0.006651 0.008315
2025-12-07 0.002680 0.003153 0.003724 0.004477 0.005462 0.006735 0.008558
2025-12-14 0.002607 0.003091 0.003681 0.004469 0.005516 0.006893 0.008906
2025-12-21 0.002485 0.002962 0.003549 0.004340 0.005402 0.006817 0.008919
2025-12-28 0.002434 0.002921 0.003526 0.004351 0.005474 0.006997 0.009304
2026-01-04 0.002400 0.002901 0.003530 0.004399 0.005600 0.007258 0.009827
2026-01-11 0.002336 0.002840 0.003480 0.004371 0.005619 0.007367 0.010129
2026-01-18 0.002279 0.002787 0.003436 0.004350 0.005645 0.007487 0.010451
2026-01-25 0.002222 0.002731 0.003387 0.004319 0.005655 0.007582 0.010738
2026-02-01 0.002207 0.002730 0.003411 0.004390 0.005813 0.007902 0.011405
2026-02-08 0.002154 0.002677 0.003363 0.004356 0.005817 0.007988 0.011693
2026-02-15 0.002114 0.002640 0.003334 0.004350 0.005859 0.008134 0.012088
2026-02-22 0.002056 0.002578 0.003270 0.004289 0.005817 0.008145 0.012251
2026-03-01 0.002005 0.002523 0.003214 0.004239 0.005789 0.008177 0.012451
2026-03-08 0.001971 0.002491 0.003189 0.004232 0.005826 0.008312 0.012841
2026-03-15 0.001901 0.002407 0.003089 0.004112 0.005684 0.008151 0.012686